Biden starts the presidency more popular than Trump

842 points

Biden may not be spending much of his honeymoon in Congress or in public opinion, but he gets off to a better start than his predecessor.
Photo: Alex Wong / Getty Images

After four years of staring at Donald J Trump’s generally weak and remarkably stable job approval ratings, followed by close elections and a highly polarized transition period, it is hard to know what to expect from the public evaluations of his successor, Joe Biden. But today, less than a week into his tenure, we have Biden’s first polls to approve the jobs, for what they deserve – and so far, it’s good news for the 46th president.

Rasmussen, a Republican pollster who trusted Republicans, and the only poll that regularly showed Trump more than 50 percent approval for the job, Biden is now 48 percent Agree, with 47 percent rejected. Reuters / IpsosAn online poll that doesn’t have much party history has Biden approval for the job at 57 of registered voters, with 32 percent disapproval (Biden’s job approval is 92 percent among Democrats, 21 percent among Republicans, and 52 percent among independents) . Reuters / Ipsos received Trump’s approval of 35% and 63 rejections Final evaluation Of his performance, although that was right after the Capitol riots, he retained a favorable 70 percent rating from Republicans. At the end of his presidency, Trump’s job was approved RealClearPolitics Averages 41.1 percent agreed – 56.1 percent disagreed; Initially, 44.3% agreed – 44.2% disagreed (by the end of January 2017, the percentage turned negative forever).

Perhaps the best measure of Biden’s current popularity is his personal rating, a metric very close to approval of the job once the president settles into office. according to RealClearPolitics AveragesBiden, right before his inauguration, was 50.5 percent and 41.7 percent unfavorable. Trump He was 41.3 percent favorable and 50.0 percent unfavorable right before his inauguration, and he ended up with 38.0 percent favorable and 57.7 percent as he left office.

So there are no signs yet of a huge public opinion honeymoon for Biden, but he is in better shape than Trump for nearly the entire tenure of his presidency. Like Geoffrey Skelly He explains At FiveThirtyEight, the big presidential honeymoon was popular: From Eisenhower to George HW Bush, all newly elected presidents had a job approval rate of over 60 percent within their first six months in office. Barack Obama was a bounce in this sense, at an average of 60.2 percent. But Clinton, George W. Bush, and Trump fell short (most evident was Trump’s 41.4% approval). As Kelly notes, things just changed:

“One of the things that happened is let’s give the guy a chance,” he said. “The old fashioned has kind of evaporated.” Geoffrey Cohen, Fordham University political scientist Who studies public opinion and the presidency. Instead, people do not deviate from their voting patterns. The division you see remains in the election campaigns. ” Casey Dominguez, A political scientist at the University of San Diego Who studies presidential honeymoon periods He agrees, citing the media as a major driving force in this: “Today we have a news media environment where there are sources of information that would not be favorable to Biden.”

We have no way of knowing whether the state of the country will be an attraction or a major factor in Biden’s popularity – or indeed, if the party polarization is now so intense that his job acceptance rates will be as stable as Trump. But he is starting in a better place than his predecessor and has a fighting chance out of the party ghetto with limited support.

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